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DraftKings Value Plays and GPP Targets for Week 8

by Matthew Gajewski, October 26, 2019

Coming off a brilliant 312-yard, two-score performance, Ryan Tannehill finds himself underpriced at $5,100. On top of the strong counting stats, Tannehill recorded an 81.8-percent True Completion Percentage and a 106.1 True Passer Rating. While the sample remains small, each would rank near the top of the league.

Continually underrated, DraftKings set Allen Robinson’s price absurdly low at $6,000. Robinson remains one of two receivers with at least a 40-percent air yards share and a 25-percent Target Share. He also stands out from an efficiency perspective with a 37.1-percent (No. 9 among qualified wide receivers) Dominator Rating in Chicago’s offense.

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Cheap DFS Lineup Makers for Week 8

by Taylor Smith, October 26, 2019

Ty Johnson is clearly Detroit’s lead back with an all-purpose skillset and has a plus matchup with the Giants this week. While J.D. McKissic may be a superior pass-catcher, Johnson has shown he can hold his own in that regard with nine catches on 10 targets. At $5200 as a home favorite, he’ll be the chalk in cash games.

Jonnu Smith finally has a chance at unleashing his 127.0 (93rd-percentile) SPARQ-x score. With Delanie Walker out of the picture, Smith’s Snap Share and routes run skyrocketed to season-highs last week. He is another solid punt play at a tight end position that has no real values this week.

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Chris Carson and the Lock Button Plays for Week 8

by Alex Johnson, October 26, 2019

Even with Rashaad Penny returning from a hamstring injury last week, Chris Carson saw a season-high 91-percent of the snaps. He has carried the ball at least 21 times in four straight games. His 139 carries on the season trails only Leonard Fournette. He has been efficient with his carries, evidenced by a 29.8-percent (No. 11) Juke Rate and 48 (No. 4) evaded tackles.

Now in the role that saw Will Fuller average eight targets per game, Kenny Stills is in line to smash for fantasy gamers. He is a complete steal on both FanDuel ($5,700) and DraftKings ($4,700) despite a matchup with the Raiders, who have allowed 16 passing touchdowns and 43 fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

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Fantasy football’s most volatile players at the season’s midway point

by Matthew M. Stevens, October 25, 2019

Several key metrics and other factors indicate why Aaron Rodgers, despite his volatility, doesn’t make for a sell-high candidate after his recent explosion. He holds a 111.9 (No. 4 among qualified quarterbacks) True Passer Rating and averages 8.4 (No. 4) Adjusted Yards Per Attempt, a testament to his efficiency.

No backs have higher marks than Christian McCaffrey’s 47.0-percent Dominator Rating and 146.9 Weighted Opportunities, but it’s his eye-popping efficiency that makes what he does so incredible. His 268 Yards Created ranks No. 3, and he uses his elusive shiftiness to rank fifth with 45 evaded tackles and second with seven Breakaway Runs.

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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 8

by Kyle Dvorchak, October 24, 2019

A.J. Brown is the option to stack with Ryan Tannehill because he’s been a better player than Corey Davis this season. Brown has a +26.5 (No. 12 among qualified wide receivers) Production Premium, 122.6 (No. 15) QB Rating when Targeted and 0.57 (No. 12) fantasy points per route run. Davis has been good, but not excellent in any of those metrics. He is outside the top-20 in all three.

The Noah Fant breakout is coming, it’s just a matter of figuring out when. This week sets up well to be the time with the Broncos being six-point underdogs against the Colts, which should keep them passing from behind throughout the game. Fant’s breakout will be a 15 DraftKings points game, and he’ll be among the best values on the slate at $2,900.

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Stay or Go: Who to hold and who to drop for Week 8

by Daniel Turner, October 24, 2019

Aaron Rodgers has faith in Allen Lazard, and that is huge for a young receiver. His 77.8-percent Catch Rate is impressive, especially given the limited number of snaps he’s seen so far this year. If he continues playing at this level, the risk of him becoming an afterthought when the Green Bay receivers return to health should be reduced.  

The Chiefs will have to deal with the reality that their star quarterback will miss some time. This will have an avalanche effect on the value of the team’s pass catchers, no one more so than Mecole Hardman. He has a low 11.9-percent (No. 94 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share to begin with, and now his 59.4-percent (No. 80) Route Participation mark should go down even more.

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Fantasy Football Trends to Watch – Week 8 Edition

by Matthew Gajewski, October 23, 2019

While the public continues to rightfully hammer Los Angeles for playing Melvin Gordon over Austin Ekeler, playing both remains their optimal player personnel configuration. Ekeler excels primarily as a receiver in this offense. Alos bringing a +59.6 (No. 3 among qualified running backs) Production Premium, the Chargers need to keep him on the field.

Robby Anderson continues to command volume in this Jets offense. Against the Patriots, he saw eight targets and 120 Air Yards despite the tough matchup. Looking at his last two games with Sam Darnold, the peripheral numbers increase to 19 targets and 311 Air Yards. With the Patriots out of the way, the Jets schedule opens considerably in the near future.

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Kyler Murray and the Biggest Week 7 Fantasy Busts

by Granola Jeremy, October 23, 2019

Yes, Kyler Murray had a bust-worthy Week 7 outing, but he also was the fifth-highest scoring quarterback in Week 5 and the fourth-highest in Week 6. His 259 (No. 6 among qualified quarterbacks) attempts combined with his 266 (No. 2) rushing yards give him huge upside.

Christian Kirk was out and Larry Fitzgerald was in, but Fitzgerald still tanked because of game-script and a poor outing from Kyler Murray. His 55 (No. 10) targets, 144 (No. 18) yards after the catch and +18.5-percent (No. 25) Target Premium suggest he’ll remain steady.

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Chase Edmonds Activation and other Week 7 Waiver Targets

by Josh Crocker, October 22, 2019

Chase Edmonds has long been touted by his own team as a player who would be able to fill David Johnson’s shoes if need be. Though still largely unproven, he has at least worked his way to a place where the Cardinals are comfortable running him out in a bell-cow sized role while allowing Johnson to heal up.

While Delanie Walker deals with an ankle injury, Tennessee will be in need of someone to fill his shoes. With recent changes at quarterback, all of the team’s pass catchers receive fresh starts. In Week 8, Jonnu Smith and the Titans face a Tampa Bay team that has allowed five tight ends to score double-digit PPR fantasy points.

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Week 7 Lessons Learned: The NFC North Houses Two Contenders

by Tyler Strong, October 21, 2019

Kirk Cousins has thrown 10 touchdowns in the last 12 quarters of football, and that’s with Dalvin Cook still seeing top-three running back usage. Offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski has let Cousins off the leash, and the team’s utilization of play action has been a revelation in recent weeks.

While Aaron Rodgers uncorks some vintage ARod plays every few games no matter the state of his team, the stars might finally be aligning for one of those vintage magical seasons. It took some time for Rodgers and Matt LaFleur to get on the same page, but the Packers are now on a first round bye trajectory.

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