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Welcome back to the AFC South Report! 12 weeks of regular season action have come and gone, and I’m here to tell you all about how the AFC has shaped up so far. Also, I will take a look at how my predictions for the season are stacking up so far as well as provide a few more predictions. A lot has happened since the last check-in on Week 8. The Colts brought Jeff Saturday in as their coach and he reinstated Matt Ryan as the starting QB. The Texans have somehow started to look worse. Malik Willis had his shot, but lost it for the rest of this season. And the Jaguars continue to steadily improve, especially Trevor Lawrence. Without further ado, let’s take a little bit deeper of a look into these teams now that there’s only a few weeks left.

The Fantasy Supermarket is a place where fantasy team builders can find deals. Discounted players that are poised for some big games ahead or talent profiles that are exciting, but the stats haven’t been there. But sometimes the supermarket has a player that is just so good that they are worth buying even at a high price. DK Metcalf is that dude. Despite ranking as WR 18 overall, Metcalf is WR 25 on a points-per-game basis. That difference is enough to potentially open the slightest of buy windows. It will not lower the price, but that is okay because if he was a top-10 wide receiver he wouldn’t even be available. 

D’Andre Swift finds himself locked into a running back committee. Regardless of whether the Lions are managing his reps or prefer Williams as a primary ball carrier, Swift has disappointed in 2022. On the year, Swift is averaging 13.0 fppg (No. 20) with five TDs (No. 18). Williams has drastically cut into his production in the touchdown department with a league-leading 13 scores. While Swift has dealt with injuries in his young career, this current dip in value may be a solid opportunity to buy at a discount. After all, he has still produced an elite 1.22 (No. 2) Fantasy Points Per Opportunity with a True Yards Per Carry of 5.0 (No. 12). Still just 23 years old, Swift’s dynasty value loses 45.44 Lifetime Value points to slip two spots to RB5.

Justin Fields practiced in full on Thursday and is averaging 6.84 yards per carry this season. He has at least 47 rushing yards in every game since Week 3, at least 60 yards in every game since Week 6, and at least one rushing touchdown in every game since Week 7. David Montgomery ran for 122 yards at an 8.13 yards per carry clip against Green Bay in Week 2. Fields and Montgomery, heck even Darrynton Evans if he gets 10 touches again like he did last week, is set to smash against this Packers’ defense.

We will work under the assumption Vegas is sharp about the 49ers playing from ahead in Week 13. This means San Francisco has to find scoring somehow and production from one of their many weapons, especially in the end zone. We’re choosing Kittle to do that for us because this season the Dolphins have allowed the No. 6-most receiving yards per game and third-most receiving touchdowns to tight ends.

The Group Stage of the 2022 World Cup is behind us! 16 lucky teams now have the chance to represent their country in a sudden death knockout tournament. We have officially made it to the 2022 World Cup Knockout Stage! These 16 teams are the top 2 teams from each group. The United States finished 2nd in Group B after drawing Wales and England and then beating Iran. They now face Netherlands in the first round of the knockout tournament. Let’s take a closer look at this stage of the World Cup as well as reflect on how we got here. And for some fun, I will give some predictions on how I think these games will go.

In his last three games, Robert Woods has had 7, 7, and 6 targets. During this stretch, he managed a 6-69-0 stat line against Jaire Alexander and the Packers has SIX red zone targets total. Woods’ season has been a disaster as a whole, but that’s why he’s still available in 60-percent of Sleeper leagues.

The Denver Broncos continue to step on the gas and operate at a faster pace. They are up to No. 11 after Week 12 with a pace of play mark of 2.124. In the first six weeks of the season, the Broncos were never higher than No. 25 while dropping as low as No. 28 on occasion. This emphasis on speed has done precious little for them offensively, and it should be noted. The Broncos are No. 32 in points scored and No. 32 in the percentage of drives ending with points at 26.6-percent. Luckily, they don’t have the mother of all albatrosses in a contract for their misfiring quarterback. Oh, hang on…

Josh Allen managers can rest easy knowing his UCL injury isn’t the detriment to his fantasy production that many feared it would be. Producing 21.2 fantasy points per game with two games of 40+ pass attempts since the scare, he’s confidently the rest-of-season QB1. He’s still not afraid to run. He carried the rock 10 times for 78 yards and a score in Week 12. Against a Patriots defense that has allowed solid fantasy performances to talented quarterbacks, Allen is a top-10 option.

The Packers have a clear need for weapons, after spending 12 of 17 draft picks in Rounds 1 and 2 on the Defense since 2015, the Packers attempted to trade up for Christian Watson into Round 1 of the 2022 Draft. In 2023, they finally address it and they do it early.

It just hasn’t worked out for Derek Carr in Las Vegas… or Oakland. The Raiders have a $5.6 Million dollar dead cap OUT in Carr’s contract after the 2022 season that will allow Las Vegas to move on and get Josh McDaniels a quarterback of choice in C.J. Stroud.