Aaron Rodgers’ Injury Torpedoed Jordy Nelson and the other Green Bay Receivers in Fantasy Football

by Minion Army ·
jordy-nelson-fantasy-football

Injuries wrecked a lot of fantasy teams in week 6. Aaron Rodgers‘ broken collarbone was worst of all, because it torpedoed the entire Green Bay offense from Davante Adams to Ty Montgomery.

In 2013, the last time Aaron Rodgers fractured his clavicle, the Packers went 2-5-1 and were held under 15 points three times. The biggest loser is Jordy Nelson. Check out Nelson’s 2013 game log:

–>Rodgers Played Weeks 1-8, 17: 49 receptions, 810 yards, 7 touchdowns

–>Seneca Wallace, Scott Tolzien & Matt Flynn Played Weeks 9-16: 36 reception, 504 yards, 1 touchdown

Over the last five years, Jordy was a top-5 fantasy producer with Aaron Rodgers. Without Rodgers, his catches, yards, touchdowns, efficiency and fantasy points all collapsed.

Metric With Aaron Rodgers Without Aaron Rodgers
Fantasy Points Per Game 19.7 11.7
Receptions Per Game 6.0 4.5
Catch Rate 71% 63%
Yards Per Game 85.7 62.4
Touchdowns Per Game .87 .14

Nelson is no longer a top-5 fantasy receiver, Randall Cobb and Davante Adams are now flex options, and Martellus Bennett is useless. The fantasy prospects for Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones are also diminished. They were averaging a touchdown per game with Rodgers, but with fewer red zone carries, Jones and Montgomery will be chasing ghosts.

Brett Hundley Advanced Stats & Metrics Profile

What about Brett Hundley? Hundley’s prospect profile is impressive. Precocious and efficient college passer with great athleticism, but he’s no Aaron Rodgers. No one is. Hundley’s ceiling is Ryan Tannehill with wheels, but more likely, as a late round pick coming in with no experience, fast Trevor Siemian is the most realistic comp.

Happy Halloween! RIP Green Bay fantasy production.