Antonio Gibson May Get Less Work In 2022
Washington Commanders running back Antonio Gibson had a ...
Year Year | Games Played Games | Rush Attempts Atts | Rush Yards Rush Yds | Yards Per Carry YPC | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Total Touchdowns TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 16 | 258 | 1037 | 4.0 | 42 | 294 | 10 | 14.3 (#17) |
2020 | 14 | 170 | 795 | 4.7 | 36 | 247 | 11 | 14.4 (#16) |
Snap Share | Opportunity Share | Weighted Opportunities | Team Run Plays Per Game Team Run Plays/Gm | Carries | Targets | Red Zone Touches |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
56.3% | 62.6% | 236.4 (14.8 p/g) | 28.1 (2.00 pace) | 258 (16.1 p/g) | 52 (3.3 p/g) | 52 (6 gl) |
#23 | #15 | #8 | #6 | #4 | #22 | #4 |
Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Opportunity Fantasy Pts/Opportunity | Fantasy Points Per Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Gm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1037 (64.8 p/g) | 294 (18.4 p/g) | 42 (2.6 p/g) | 10 (3.3% rate) | 0.74 | 14.3 (-0.88) | 15.2 (-0.88diff) |
#6 | #24 | #16 | #8 | #50 | #17 | #14 |
Target Share | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % | Yards Per Reception | Yards Per Route Run | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Drops |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10.4% | 180 (11.3 p/g) | 35.0% | 7.0 (5.7 ypt) | 1.63 | 80.8% | 5 (9.6% rate) |
#20 | #32 | #42 | #21 | #10 | #12 | #6 |
True Yards Per Carry | Yards Per Touch | Juke Rate | Evaded Tackles | Breakaway Run Rate | Breakaway Runs | Best Ball Points Added |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3.9 (4.0 ypc) | 4.4 | 29.0% | 87 (5.4 p/g) | 4.7% | 12 (0.8 p/g) | 108.9 (6.81 p/g) |
#47 | #39 | #14 | #5 | #18 | #8 | #13 |
Yards Created | Yards Created Per Touch Yards Created/Touch | Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) Expected Pts Added | Dominator Rating | Game Script | Run Blocking Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
715 (44.7 p/g) | 2.38 | 0.0 | -21.2 | 27.3% | -4.41 | 55.3 |
#11 | #33 | #28 | #145 | #12 | #28 | #41 |
Average Defenders In The Box Defenders In The Box | Stacked Front Carry Rate Stacked Front Carry % | Base Front Carry Rate Base Front Carry % | Light Front Carry Rate Light Front Carry % | Shotgun Carry Rate Shotgun Carry % | Under Center Carry Rate Under Center Carry % | Stuffed Runs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.1 | 5.4% (1.5 ypc) | 32.6% (3.5 ypc) | 62.0% (4.5 ypc) | 59.7% (1.0 ypc) | 40.3% (1.0 ypc) | 46 (17.8% rate) |
#48 | #48 | #26 | #16 | #9 | #59 | #4 |
Snap Share | Opportunity Share | Weighted Opportunities | Team Run Plays Per Game Team Run Plays/Gm | Carries | Targets | Red Zone Touches |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.0% | 47.3% | 171.1 (12.2 p/g) | 25.0 (2.05 pace) | 170 (12.1 p/g) | 44 (3.1 p/g) | 31 (8 gl) |
#40 | #33 | #21 | #117 | #18 | #25 | #22 |
Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Opportunity Fantasy Pts/Opportunity | Fantasy Points Per Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Gm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
795 (56.8 p/g) | 247 (17.6 p/g) | 36 (2.6 p/g) | 11 (5.3% rate) | 0.94 | 14.4 (+3.31) | 11.4 (+3.31diff) |
#18 | #24 | #19 | #7 | #16 | #16 | #24 |
Target Share | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % | Yards Per Reception | Yards Per Route Run | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Drops |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8.9% | 163 (11.6 p/g) | 31.7% | 6.9 (5.6 ypt) | 1.52 | 81.8% | 4 (9.1% rate) |
#25 | #38 | - | #27 | #9 | #7 | #9 |
True Yards Per Carry | Yards Per Touch | Juke Rate | Evaded Tackles | Breakaway Run Rate | Breakaway Runs | Best Ball Points Added |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.5 (4.7 ypc) | 5.1 | 28.2% | 58 (4.1 p/g) | 4.7% | 8 (0.6 p/g) | 102.0 (7.29 p/g) |
#18 | #29 | #10 | #13 | - | #12 | #11 |
Yards Created | Yards Created Per Touch Yards Created/Touch | Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) Expected Pts Added | Dominator Rating | Game Script | Run Blocking Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
584 (41.7 p/g) | 2.84 | +17.3 | +0.5 | 28.0% | -3.86 | 42.8 |
#15 | #18 | #11 | #49 | #7 | #121 | #41 |
Average Defenders In The Box Defenders In The Box | Stacked Front Carry Rate Stacked Front Carry % | Base Front Carry Rate Base Front Carry % | Light Front Carry Rate Light Front Carry % | Shotgun Carry Rate Shotgun Carry % | Under Center Carry Rate Under Center Carry % | Stuffed Runs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.5 | 12.9% (3.3 ypc) | 27.1% (3.6 ypc) | 60.0% (5.5 ypc) | 60.6% (4.9 ypc) | 39.4% (4.3 ypc) | 22 (12.9% rate) |
#60 | #52 | #58 | #6 | #13 | #64 | #32 |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Snap Share Snap Share | Carries Carries | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Total Yards Total Yards | Total TDs Total TDs | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAC | 68.0% | 20 (1 rz) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 108 | 0 | 11.8 (#25) |
2 | NYG | 60.9% | 13 (0 rz) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 73 | 0 | 9.3 (#31) |
3 | BUF | 58.8% | 12 (2 rz) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 104 | 1 | 17.4 (#17) |
4 | ATL | 56.3% | 14 (1 rz) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 1 | 15.5 (#20) |
5 | NO | 53.9% | 20 (6 rz) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 72 | 2 | 21.2 (#13) |
6 | KC | 37.9% | 10 (0 rz) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 4.4 (#43) |
7 | GB | 45.7% | 14 (4 rz) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 0 | 7.6 (#34) |
8 | DEN | 30.4% | 8 (0 rz) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 8.4 (#35) |
10 | TB | 64.8% | 24 (8 rz) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 2 | 21.8 (#7) |
11 | CAR | 46.2% | 19 (6 rz) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 0 | 7.5 (#27) |
12 | SEA | 68.8% | 29 (6 rz) | 13 | 7 | 7 | 146 | 0 | 23.6 (#5) |
13 | LV | 78.7% | 23 (4 rz) | 19 | 6 | 5 | 111 | 1 | 22.1 (#6) |
14 | DAL | 65.6% | 10 (0 rz) | 17 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 0 | 4.1 (#43) |
15 | PHI | 75.9% | 15 (4 rz) | 19 | 7 | 6 | 65 | 1 | 18.5 (#4) |
16 | DAL | 37.5% | 6 (0 rz) | 10 | 4 | 2 | 58 | 1 | 13.8 (#18) |
18 | NYG | 53.3% | 21 (5 rz) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 151 | 1 | 22.1 (#6) |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Snap Share Snap Share | Carries Carries | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Total Yards Total Yards | Total TDs Total TDs | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PHI | 25.7% | 9 (1 rz) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 6.4 (#48) |
2 | ARI | 64.5% | 13 (2 rz) | 20 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 1 | 12.2 (#28) |
3 | CLE | 37.1% | 9 (2 rz) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 1 | 13.0 (#24) |
4 | BAL | 45.7% | 13 (4 rz) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 128 | 1 | 22.8 (#5) |
5 | LAR | 55.8% | 11 (1 rz) | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 10.1 (#28) |
6 | NYG | 38.6% | 9 (0 rz) | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 9.5 (#26) |
7 | DAL | 48.6% | 20 (3 rz) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 1 | 18.8 (#9) |
9 | NYG | 41.7% | 6 (3 rz) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 12.5 (#18) |
10 | DET | 39.8% | 13 (3 rz) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 65 | 2 | 22.5 (#7) |
11 | CIN | 50.8% | 16 (5 rz) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 104 | 1 | 17.4 (#8) |
12 | DAL | 67.7% | 20 (3 rz) | 18 | 7 | 5 | 136 | 3 | 36.6 (#2) |
13 | PIT | 5.7% | 2 (0 rz) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1.4 (#68) |
16 | CAR | 30.4% | 10 (1 rz) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 69 | 0 | 9.9 (#29) |
17 | PHI | 59.7% | 19 (1 rz) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 81 | 0 | 9.1 (#36) |
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
Washington Commanders running back Antonio Gibson had a ...
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Year Year | Games Games | Rush Attempts Rush Atts | Rushing Yards Rush Yrds | Total Touchdowns TDs | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yrds | Target Share Tgt Share | Age Age | School School |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 5 (WR) | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 (8 tgts) | 99 | 1.9% | 20 | Memphis |
2019 | 14 (WR) | 33 | 369 (4 tds) | 12 | 38 (56 tgts) | 735 | 12.7% | 21 | Memphis |
Soon after the Washington Commanders drafted Antonio Gibson at the 3.02, a significant opportunity opened as the team cut starting running back Derrius Guice and later released backup Adrian Peterson. With only a 47.3-percent (No.33) Opportunity Share, Gibson was still able to finish with 170 (No.18) Carries for 795 (No.18) Rushing Yards. He was able to force defenders to miss, tallying 58 (No.13) Evaded Tackles and 8 (No.12) Breakaway Runs, leading to 715 Yards Created. His efficiency led to 11 (No.7) Total Touchdowns on just 31 (No.22) Red Zone Touches.
In 2021, Gibson continued his tear. Although he saw a slight drop in efficiency across the board, his snaps skyrocketed. However, his 14.3 (No.17) Fantasy Points per Game were not indicative of his success. Although Gibson was raised as a receiver and the Commanders spent most of their games in negative game script, Gibson was used in the passing game sparingly. It wasn’t till Week 12, when J.D. McKissic received a concussion, that Gibson was able to come down with more than three balls in a game and consistently see more than 13 routes run. He had at least five catches in three of the next five full games, finishing as RB6 or better in four of them. While fully healthy from Weeks 12 to 15 he commanded a 16.9-percent target share compared to only a 10.4-percent season average.
The Commanders have many moving pieces which could affect Gibson moving forward which is evident by his ADP. McKissic is a pending free agent, Curtis Samuel’s usage is a question mark, and the quarterback position could be up in the air. He needs to show a major improvement in run-blocking to be more of a three-down back. Regardless, Gibson should be treated as an RB1 for 2022 and beyond.