A.J. Dillon Could Find Success As Backup
Green Bay Packers running back A.J. Dillon should see more ...
A.J. Dillon
Overall rank
RB23
2021
- Height
- 6' 0"
- Weight
- 247 lbs
- BMI
- 33.5 (97th)
- Draft Pick
- 2.30 2020
- College
- Boston College
- Age
- 24.1
Workout Metrics
4.53
70th
117.3
98th
135.2
98th
23
76th
40-Yard Dash
Speed Score
Burst Score
Agility Score
Bench Press
High School Workouts
4.54
61st
112.5
98th
38.60
92nd
4.18
73rd
79.00
40th
40-Time
Speed Score
Vertical Jump
20 Yard Shuttle
Scouting Grade
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A.J. Dillon Bio & Season Stats
| Year Year | Games Played Games | Rush Attempts Atts | Rush Yards Rush Yds | Yards Per Carry YPC | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Total Touchdowns TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 187 | 803 | 4.3 | 34 | 313 | 7 | 10.9 (#29) |
| 2020 | 11 | 46 | 242 | 5.3 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 3.7 (#77) |
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College Dominator34.8% (82nd)
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College YPC5.3 (45th)
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College Target Share6.4% (43rd)
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SPARQ-x-
A.J. Dillon Advanced Stats & Metrics
Opportunity
| Snap Share | Opportunity Share | Weighted Opportunities | Team Run Plays Per Game Team Run Plays/Gm | Carries | Targets | Red Zone Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 45.1% | 170.3 (10.0 p/g) | 26.1 (1.84 pace) | 187 (11.0 p/g) | 37 (2.2 p/g) | 46 (6 gl) |
| #43 | #41 | #27 | #15 | #20 | #41 | #12 |
Productivity
| Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Opportunity Fantasy Pts/Opportunity | Fantasy Points Per Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 (47.2 p/g) | 313 (18.4 p/g) | 34 (2.0 p/g) | 7 (3.2% rate) | 0.83 | 10.9 (+1.07) | 9.9 (+1.07diff) |
| #20 | #20 | #30 | #21 | #34 | #29 | #38 |
Advanced Receiving
| Target Share | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % | Yards Per Reception | Yards Per Route Run | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 151 (8.9 p/g) | 25.5% | 9.2 (8.5 ypt) | 2.07 | 91.9% | 2 (5.4% rate) |
| - | #37 | #58 | - | - | - | #34 |
Efficiency
| True Yards Per Carry | Yards Per Touch | Juke Rate | Evaded Tackles | Breakaway Run Rate | Breakaway Runs | Best Ball Points Added |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.2 (4.3 ypc) | 5.0 | 25.3% | 56 (3.3 p/g) | 2.7% | 5 (0.3 p/g) | 73.1 (4.30 p/g) |
| #32 | #16 | #30 | #24 | #43 | #39 | #27 |
Efficiency
| Yards Created | Yards Created Per Touch Yards Created/Touch | Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) Expected Pts Added | Dominator Rating | Game Script | Run Blocking Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 (37.6 p/g) | 2.90 | +8.3 | +18.5 | 15.4% | +0.55 | 61.7 |
| #16 | #17 | #9 | #5 | #34 | #12 | #31 |
Formation-Specific
| Average Defenders In The Box Defenders In The Box | Stacked Front Carry Rate Stacked Front Carry % | Base Front Carry Rate Base Front Carry % | Light Front Carry Rate Light Front Carry % | Shotgun Carry Rate Shotgun Carry % | Under Center Carry Rate Under Center Carry % | Stuffed Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3 | 9.6% (5.1 ypc) | 32.1% (4.5 ypc) | 57.8% (4.2 ypc) | 40.6% (1.0 ypc) | 59.4% (1.0 ypc) | 21 (11.2% rate) |
| #38 | #34 | #27 | #24 | #17 | #45 | #39 |
Opportunity
| Snap Share | Opportunity Share | Weighted Opportunities | Team Run Plays Per Game Team Run Plays/Gm | Carries | Targets | Red Zone Touches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 13.9% | 30.7 (2.8 p/g) | 27.7 (1.88 pace) | 46 (4.2 p/g) | 2 (0.2 p/g) | 5 (0 gl) |
| #108 | - | - | #52 | #77 | #118 | #90 |
Productivity
| Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Opportunity Fantasy Pts/Opportunity | Fantasy Points Per Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Gm |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242 (22.0 p/g) | 21 (1.9 p/g) | 2 (0.2 p/g) | 2 (4.2% rate) | 0.84 | 3.7 (+1.31) | 3.2 (+1.31diff) |
| #70 | #111 | #115 | #61 | - | #77 | - |
Advanced Receiving
| Target Share | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % | Yards Per Reception | Yards Per Route Run | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6% | 30 (2.7 p/g) | 8.3% | 10.5 (10.5 ypt) | 0.70 | 100.0% | 0 (0.0% rate) |
| - | #102 | - | - | - | - | #80 |
Efficiency
| True Yards Per Carry | Yards Per Touch | Juke Rate | Evaded Tackles | Breakaway Run Rate | Breakaway Runs | Best Ball Points Added |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0 (5.3 ypc) | 5.5 | 37.5% | 18 (1.6 p/g) | 6.5% | 3 (0.3 p/g) | 18.2 (1.65 p/g) |
| - | - | - | #58 | - | #52 | #67 |
Efficiency
| Yards Created | Yards Created Per Touch Yards Created/Touch | Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) Expected Pts Added | Dominator Rating | Game Script | Run Blocking Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 (9.7 p/g) | 2.23 | +1.7 | +10.0 | 5.3% | +4.73 | 72.0 |
| #83 | - | #52 | #11 | - | #10 | - |
Formation-Specific
| Average Defenders In The Box Defenders In The Box | Stacked Front Carry Rate Stacked Front Carry % | Base Front Carry Rate Base Front Carry % | Light Front Carry Rate Light Front Carry % | Shotgun Carry Rate Shotgun Carry % | Under Center Carry Rate Under Center Carry % | Stuffed Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | 26.1% (3.2 ypc) | 52.2% (5.8 ypc) | 21.7% (6.6 ypc) | 47.8% (6.1 ypc) | 52.2% (4.5 ypc) | 7 (15.2% rate) |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | #78 |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Snap Share Snap Share | Carries Carries | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Total Yards Total Yards | Total TDs Total TDs | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | 26.9% | 4 (0 rz) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 3.6 (#54) |
| 2 | DET | 29.5% | 5 (1 rz) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 3.6 (#54) |
| 3 | SF | 27.1% | 6 (1 rz) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 4.6 (#47) |
| 4 | PIT | 37.5% | 15 (0 rz) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 0 | 10.7 (#30) |
| 5 | CIN | 32.3% | 8 (3 rz) | 10 | 4 | 4 | 79 | 1 | 17.9 (#19) |
| 6 | CHI | 43.1% | 11 (1 rz) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 5.9 (#40) |
| 7 | WAS | 18.9% | 3 (0 rz) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -0.2 (#83) |
| 8 | ARI | 40.3% | 16 (4 rz) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 7.8 (#40) |
| 9 | KC | 38.3% | 8 (0 rz) | 8 | 4 | 4 | 90 | 0 | 13.0 (#18) |
| 10 | SEA | 51.4% | 21 (10 rz) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 128 | 2 | 26.8 (#3) |
| 11 | MIN | 77.8% | 11 (0 rz) | 16 | 6 | 6 | 97 | 0 | 15.7 (#13) |
| 12 | LAR | 53.2% | 20 (5 rz) | 16 | 5 | 5 | 90 | 1 | 20.0 (#9) |
| 14 | CHI | 50.0% | 15 (5 rz) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 7.1 (#35) |
| 15 | BAL | 39.7% | 7 (2 rz) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 10.5 (#24) |
| 16 | CLE | 43.1% | 9 (3 rz) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 8.6 (#31) |
| 17 | MIN | 51.4% | 14 (4 rz) | 14 | 3 | 2 | 83 | 2 | 22.3 (#7) |
| 18 | DET | 54.4% | 14 (2 rz) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 67 | 0 | 7.7 (#41) |
| 20 | SF | 28.8% | 7 (2 rz) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.5 (#8) |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Snap Share Snap Share | Carries Carries | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Total Yards Total Yards | Total TDs Total TDs | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 6.6% | 2 (0 rz) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1.4 (#76) |
| 2 | DET | 10.4% | 5 (0 rz) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1.7 (#71) |
| 3 | NO | 0.0% | 0 (0 rz) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 (#82) |
| 4 | ATL | 5.0% | 1 (0 rz) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3 (#72) |
| 6 | TB | 14.8% | 5 (0 rz) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 3.1 (#53) |
| 7 | HOU | 23.0% | 5 (0 rz) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1.1 (#57) |
| 8 | MIN | 10.4% | 5 (0 rz) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 4.7 (#49) |
| 14 | DET | 0.0% | 0 (0 rz) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 (#79) |
| 15 | CAR | 9.8% | 1 (0 rz) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1.8 (#68) |
| 16 | TEN | 57.1% | 21 (4 rz) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 129 | 2 | 25.9 (#6) |
| 17 | CHI | 11.4% | 1 (0 rz) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3 (#74) |
Value Over Stream
(VOS)+2.6
(#80)
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
2021
Total Touches
2021
Opportunity Share
2021
Fantasy Points
2021
Total Touches
2021
Opportunity Share
2021
Fantasy Points
A.J. Dillon ADP
70.50
70.50
Average Draft Position (2022)
(+2.6)
Powered By
6.11
Pick
RB25
Rank
A.J. Dillon Media
A.J. Dillon News & Analysis
Recent News
A.J. Dillon Will Be Backup Week 1
Green Bay Packers running back A.J. Dillon will serve as ...
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Green Bay Packers running back A.J. Dillon is out to prove ...
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A.J. Dillon Injury History
Severity:
Low
Medium
High
Games Missed
Injury Reports
Rib fracture
Preseason (2021)
0
0
A.J. Dillon College Stats
| Year Year | Games Games | Rush Attempts Rush Atts | Rushing Yards Rush Yrds | Total Touchdowns TDs | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yrds | Target Share Tgt Share | Age Age | School School |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 13 (RB) | 300 | 1,589 (14 tds) | 14 | 0 | 0 | - | 19 | Boston College |
| 2018 | 10 (RB) | 227 | 1,108 (10 tds) | 11 | 8 (13 tgts) | 41 | 3.9% | 20 | Boston College |
| 2019 | 12 (RB) | 318 | 1,685 (14 tds) | 15 | 13 (18 tgts) | 195 | 5.9% | 21 | Boston College |
Who is A.J. Dillon
At Boston College, Dillon spent years dominating at the collegiate level, which is evidenced by his 34.8% (82nd-percentile) college dominator rating. With college stats that boast 4,382 rushing yards and 38 touchdowns, averaging 5.2 yards per carry for his career while being named First-team All-ACC Three times, along with ACC Rookie of the Year in 2017. At the combine, Dillon posted a 4.53, 69th-percentile 40 time.
Heading into the 2021 NFL offseason, Dillon appeared to be in shape for a breakout 2021 campaign after rumors surfaced of fellow running back Aaron Jones leaving in free agency. Early-season drafters drove Dillon’s ADP up by several rounds in anticipation of Jones’ departure, only to see Jones sign a new contract with the Packers, return to Green Bay and torpedo Dillon’s early-season value.
Despite Jones returning to the Packers in 2021, Dillon still saw a significant increase in his year two production. He totaled 803 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns on 187 carries, and also surprised fantasy managers when he posted a receiving line of 34-313-2 on 37 targets. Despite not being known as a pass-catcher, Dillon had a 6.5% target share and finished the year with only two drops while seeing 151 routes run. During his three years at Boston College, Dillon didn’t contribute much in the passing game, catching just 21 passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns in 35 career games, garnering a 6.4% college target share (43rd-percentile). He caught just two passes as a rookie, but would catch 34 passes in 2021, which made for an unexpected surprise on the year. He was second amongst running backs with a 91.9% catch rate, dropping just two passes on the year.
Dillon never saw a bellcow workload last season, finishing 20th amongst running backs in both carries and rushing yards, but he ranked inside the top-20 in yards per carry (640) and expected points added (+18.4). Dillon ranked 16th in yards created and was the 25th ranked running back in broken tackles with 56. Of the 17 games Dillon appeared in last season, he saw double-digit carries in nine of those games, and finished as a top-24 RB in seven games. He had three games where he finished as a top-12 back. When it comes to fantasy points per game, Dillon just missed a fantasy ranking of low-end RB2 status, as he averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game (RB31), but still offered plenty of upside.
Dillon looks like a strong handcuff off of Aaron Jones after showing versatility in both the running and the passing game last season. Should Jones ever miss significant time, Dillon has the makings off a weekly top-12 RB with league-winning upside.
