PlayerProfiler is home to award-winning dynasty rankings and tools. Our Dynasty Deluxe package includes complete Dynasty Rankings, Rookie Rankings, Trade Analyzer, Draft Planner, Mock Drafts, and more. Check it out! Below, Patrick Mitchell discusses his favorite running back target with Breece Hall:2025’s League-Winning RB.
Why Breece Hall Is a Smash Pick at His Discounted 2025 ADP
Breece Hall remains one of the most complete running backs in the NFL. With a rare blend of speed, burst, vision, size, and pass-catching ability, he’s the total package.
Despite his talent, Hall is being drafted as the RB13 in the late third round of 2025 fantasy drafts—a steep discount considering his upside. That drop is largely due to a disappointing 2024 season, where he finished as the RB17 in PPR points per game. But that finish requires context.
What Went Wrong in 2024?
The 2024 Jets were a disaster.
Aaron Rodgers, returning at age 40 from a torn Achilles, was ineffective. Head coach Robert Saleh was fired just five games into the season, and offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett was relieved of play-calling duties. Hackett had struggled mightily, and it’s worth noting that after the 2023 season, he admitted he “wasn’t ready for [Breece Hall] to be as productive as he was in the pass game.” Adding fuel to the dysfunction, Rodgers later went on a 25-minute diatribe criticizing the Jets’ 2024 rushing approach—a telling sign of how misaligned the quarterback was with the direction of the offense (source).
But perhaps most limiting was Hall’s health. He later revealed he played through a “pretty serious” knee injury that should’ve sidelined him longer than the one game he missed in Week 13. At OTAs this offseason, Hall said he “feels great now” and confirmed the injury didn’t require any offseason procedures (source).
When healthy, Hall has been elite:
- 2023: RB6 in PPR PPG (coming off ACL surgery!)
- 2022: RB8 as a rookie
Now 24 years old and entering the final year of his rookie deal, Hall is heading into the prime of his career.
What’s Different in 2025?
New Coaching Staff
The Jets hired Aaron Glenn as head coach and Tanner Engstrand as offensive coordinator—his first time calling plays in the NFL.
Glenn shut down offseason trade rumors by personally calling Hall and saying:
“I don’t want to trade you. I want you to be here. You’re going to be our running back.”
(source)
Engstrand comes from a Lions offense that ran outside zone on 38 percent of their plays, tied for the 4th-highest rate in the NFL (source). That scheme is a perfect fit for Hall’s speed and one-cut explosiveness—traits he showcased in Iowa State’s zone-heavy system under Tom Manning.
Quarterback Upgrade (for the Run Game)
The Jets moved on from Aaron Rodgers and handed the keys to Justin Fields.
While Fields has limitations as a passer, he’s an elite athlete who adds a valuable element to the run game. Mobile QBs stress defenses, force disciplined gap control, and open up wider rushing lanes for backs like Hall.
Rodgers, on the other hand, has never been conducive to a strong rushing attack. He prefers operating out of shotgun and rarely passes from under center—two tendencies that can make the run game a lot more predictable.
The contrast couldn’t be more stark. With Fields under center, the Jets are expected to lean into read-option and under-center play-action looks that keep defenses on their toes in the run game.
Yes, rushing quarterbacks can vulture touchdowns and target running backs less frequently. However, Fields has ranked in the top 12 in checkdown rate in three of the past four seasons (source). And with a WR room that drops off quickly behind Garrett Wilson, Hall has a real shot to be second on the team in targets.
The 2024 Jets were:
- Last in rush attempts
- 3rd-fewest total offensive plays
- 4th highest Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE)
That should completely flip in 2025.
The new personnel and play design signal a shift in identity—one that finally gives Hall the space, structure, and volume to deliver top-5 upside.
Improved Offensive Line
This could be the best Jets offensive line in years:
- LT: Olu Fashanu (2024 1st-rounder; returns to his natural left side after filling in at RT as a rookie)
- LG: John Simpson (Jets’ oldest projected starter at 28; PFF’s 16th-highest graded guard in 2024)
- C: Joe Tippmann (2023 2nd-rounder; PFF’s 9th-highest graded center in 2024)
- RG: Alijah Vera-Tucker (2021 1st-rounder; PFF’s 15th-highest graded guard in 2024)
- RT: Armand Membou (2025 1st-rounder; dominant run blocker at Missouri)
Since 2021, the Jets have spent three 1st-round picks and one 2nd-rounder on the offensive line—all projected starters this year. It’s a young, athletic unit built for wide zone and could quietly become a top-10 group if it clicks.
Added Run Game Help at TE
The Jets spent a 2nd-round pick on Mason Taylor, arguably the best blocking tight end in the 2025 class. Taylor stood out specifically on wide zone concepts in college and drew strong reviews from HC Aaron Glenn at OTAs:
“He’s doing all the things you want in the run game—the body position, the leverage, the technique. I really love what I’m seeing.”
(source)
A small but meaningful upgrade to Hall’s rushing ecosystem.
Schedule, Efficiency & Volume Outlook
Hall’s explosiveness, paired with wide zone blocking, is a proven recipe for splash plays. Wide zone concepts routinely generate some of the highest explosive run rates in the NFL (source).
The 2025 schedule also breaks favorably:
- 5th-best RB schedule (Weeks 1–17)
- 3rd-best playoff schedule (Weeks 15–17)
(source)
If the Jets execute the vision they’re signaling—a run-first, Fields-led attack behind an athletic line—Hall is positioned to be a league winner.
The Only Concern: Committee Talk?
Defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn said:
“We have three running backs on this team that we’re going to utilize as much as possible.”
(source)
But let’s be honest — there’s a massive talent gap between Breece Hall and the rest of this backfield.
- Braelon Allen: 4th-round pick, averaged just 3.6 YPC in 2024
- Isaiah Davis: 5th-rounder, only 39 touches as a rookie with 4.57 speed
Meanwhile, Hall was a high second-round pick with 4.39 wheels and has averaged just under four catches per game across his career. He’s the engine of this offense — and the coaches know it.
In fact, Hall himself said the staff is preparing him for a full-blown workhorse role:
“Tanner Engstrand & Aaron Glenn always tell me I’m gonna do everything, so I’m getting ready to do everything. I have to be ready to be a 3-down back & be a threat, to do everything.”
— Breece Hall (source)
While there have been mixed signals from the coaching staff, Hall’s own words — and the depth chart behind him — point toward a prominent lead role for the upcoming season.
In Detroit, a split made sense with both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery offering starting-caliber talent. In New York? Allen and Davis are decent depth, but they don’t move the needle. Hall will get spelled on occasion, but when it matters most, the Jets will need him on the field.
Final Thoughts
Breece Hall is a screaming value in 2025 redraft formats. He checks every box:
✅ Elite Talent
✔️ Heatlhy Again
✅ Scheme Fit
✔️ Improved Offensive Line
✅ Potential No. 2 on Team in Target Share
✔️ Rb1 Upside
Don’t overthink it. Buy the dip.
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