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Matt Kelley

CEO, Founder
Fantasy_Mansion

Matt Kelley aka “The Podfather” is the irreverent, fearless wrestling heel of fantasy sports. After graduating from Northwestern University, he served as the Head of Product for a higher education software business. This business grew in value and eventually sold to private equity for $100 million. As his second act, Matt founded PlayerProfiler.com. His mission is to help bring the sports analytics revolution to American football fans and fantasy gamers. Providing dedicated fans with the best fantasy football picks in the industry is Matt’s mission. Every move that is made at PlayerProfiler begins with the users in mind.

Fun Fact: PlayerProfiler.com’s original purpose was to help The Podfather host a sprawling network of podcasts such as Mind of Mansion, Sonic Truth, Top-10 Takeaways, Waiver Wired, and The Decision Point. All of these shows are designed to help fantasy gamers make the best fantasy football picks in their respective leagues. Though the site has since taken on a life of its own, Matt Kelley remains intimately involved in designing new features and functionality for PlayerProfiler and its numerous mobile apps. These apps include the Injury Finder and the Breakout Finder. These apps are designed to help fantasy gamers maximize their chances of winning in fantasy football!

Articles

Breakout Finder 3.0 is HERE!

by The Podfather
Take the guesswork out of fantasy football dynasty and devy league rookie drafts by putting contextual & predictive wide receiver prospect data points at your fingertips. Compare prospects, identify likely breakouts, and most importantly, avoid busts in your rookie drafts. Mine value like never before by easily toggling through Breakout Finder's comprehensive wide receiver database featuring a robust index of advanced stats on players of the past, present, and future from Calvin Johnson to Chris Godwin to Denzel Mims.
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Brandon Aiyuk and Other Week 4 Waiver Wire Targets

by The Podfather
Brandon Aiyuk is less widely rostered than Justin Jefferson but unlikely to be available in deep leagues. He is a stronger add than Jefferson and Tee Higgins this week, because he would likely operate as the 49ers' No. 1 wide receiver until Deebo Samuel is 100-percent back online. Travis Homer is a more versatile and explosive back than Carlos Hyde and received the first backfield snap in a clutch situation after Chris Carson went down on a dirty play at the end of Seattle's epic Week 3 win. Like Myles Gaskin last week, Homer is this week's signature darkhorse free agent fantasy running back and a high priority add. Because he did not pop in the score, he can be added for a small percentage of most FAAB budgets.
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14 Deep Sleepers The Underworld Digs

by The Podfather
Austin Ekeler seized the primary back role last season, but don't forget that Justin Jackson was a dominant college producer with explosive athleticism. When called up, Jackson has been an efficient runner, and most importantly, a truly dynamic receiver. The Chargers want to run the ball, and Jackson will have a sizable part to play. Available in the last round of every draft, Justin Watson looks the part of third year breakout wide receiver given his dominant college career and 85th-percentile speed and burst. After posting a 40-percent Slot Rate last season, he is well-positioned to play when Tampa goes 3-wide. 
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How to Navigate a Best Ball Draft Using Robust RB

by The Podfather
Pick 1.02 offers the best opportunity at a well-executed Robust RB draft strategy in a Best Ball league. With the run-oriented Jason Garrett’s arrival, Daniel Jones’ continued development, and significant offensive line improvements, generational talent Saquon Barkley should challenge Christian McCaffrey in both the rushing and receiving departments. Targets are “earned” unless your name is Leonard Fournette. After posting 316 (No. 2 among qualified running backs) Weighted Opportunities last season, Fournette enters a contract year at the peak of his powers and yet is somehow still available in the third round of fantasy drafts.
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Dynasty Dominator App Update

by The Podfather
RotoUnderworld's Dynasty League Mobile App for Apple & Android includes includes new Trade Analyzer features and Price Check ADP visualization enhancements.
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10 Big Veteran Winners From the NFL Draft

by The Podfather
How do you detangled a player from his environment? PlayerProfiler, duh. Joe Mixon was top-5 in both Juke Rate and Yards Created Per Touch last season, which is especially impressive given his volume. The Bengals signaled an extension is coming sooner rather than later when the team refused to use the NFL Draft to gain additional leverage on Mixon. The new collective bargaining agreement's punitive measures against failing to report to training camp will further dissuade a holdout. Atlanta opted to give up a second round pick in one of the most talent-rich drafts in NFL history for Hayden Hurst. Few tight ends enter 2020 in a better situation as Atlanta has the most top-heavy receiving corps in the league. You don't want to know who sits behind Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Hurst on the depth chart. While Julio and Ridley are in high-demand, Hurst is still relatively inexpensive across all formats.
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10 Big Rookie Winners From the NFL Draft

by The Podfather
The Steelers front office puts a premium on character and relationships. This combined with the team's close connection to the University of Maryland helps explain how Anthony McFarland ended up in Pittsburgh with a high-value fourth round selection. The team refuses to commit to the oft-injured James Conner, Benny Snell is just a guy, and Jaylen Samuels never fired. The runway lights are lit for McFarland and his 4.44 speed to lift off as Ben Roethlisberger returns in 2020.   If you think Austin Ekeler's extreme efficiency will carry over into 2020 sharing a backfield with a rookie quarterback behind an ineffective offensive line, this whole fantasy football things probably isn't for you. Joshua Kelley is the only Chargers running back with the requisite size and all-purpose skillset to endure as a primary back in the league. The fourth round is the new third round given how the NFL has devalued the RB position. Kelley is the best-value rookie running back in dynasty.
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Ultimate Winners and Losers from NFL Free Agency

by The Podfather
Teddy Bridgewater gains a substantial 4.83 lifetime value points on PlayerProfiler's Dynasty Rankings after landing in the singular situation to maximize his limited skill set. The Panthers' passing game features big time RB/WR hybrid playmakers, which is the ideal fit for a quarterback who keeps the ball close to the line of scrimmage. With Teddy throwing short darts, Carolina's receiving corps could lead the NFL in team yards after catch. What a stomach punch. Cam Newton goes from throwing passes to the best receiving corps in the league (D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, Curtis Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, and Ian Thomas) to just needing someone to believe in him. According to his Instagram videos, Newton looks rededicated and is a great uncertainty-fueled value play later in fantasy drafts.
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2020 NFL Scouting Combine Winners and Losers

by The Podfather
Say it with me, and say it like you mean it. DENZEL MIMS IS THE TRUTH. While Mims comps to a number of stud wide receivers, Chris Godwin is his closest comp and his best-case scenario. A full appreciation of Denzel Mims post-Combine also propels Michael Pittman, who was the second-most impressive wide receiver at this year's Senior Bowl. Film grinders perpetually overvalue tackle breaking and undervalue athleticism, and Zack Moss personifies this flawed evaluation process. Pass on this less-impressive David Montgomery in rookie drafts and insist on more upside.
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Get the Dynasty Dominator App for iPhone and Android Devices

by The Podfather
Build a super team with a constant stream of league-winning dynasty trades using RotoUnderworld's ground breaking Trade Analyzer that accurately values future draft picks, free roster space, and prioritizes quality over quantity in dynasty dealmaking. Set up a golden loom of accrued dynasty roster value with PlayerProfiler's highly anticipated Player Comparison Matrix that juxtaposes advanced prospect profiles and the NFL metrics that matter most to create the next generation talent heat mapping system.
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Biggest Winners from NFL Free Agency

by The Podfather
Latavius Murray is like an oversized Tevin Coleman, and landed on the perfect offense to compliment his skillset. The Superdome is the Coors Field of the NFL, and Murray in New Orleans is like Vinny Castilla in Colorado. The arrival of Murray and a pass-first attack would virtually guarantee a second year breakout for Christian Kirk, who flashed the most impressive age-adjusted college dominance among the 2018 NFL Draft WR class. Specifically, Kirk posted an absurd 1009 receiving yards as a true freshman at Texas A&M while sharing a field with Josh Reynolds.
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NFL Cornerback Rankings: Is Xavien Howard Actually Elite?

by The Podfather
With more NFL teams deploying three and four-receiver sets on any given play, the pool of fantasy-viable wide receivers is significantly deeper than other skill positions. In this context, solving the WR start/sit dilemma requires more analytical firepower. Looking beyond subjective grades, the Xavien Howard perfectly illustrates the value of an evidence-based approach to the cornerback evaluation and WR-CB match-up analysis.
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Dynasty Rookie Rankings: Mark Walton and Jordan Lasley rising

by The Podfather
Lamar Jackson's electric rushing capability combined with a strong throwing arm will make him the most difficult player to defend to moment he steps onto an NFL field. While Josh Rosen has become one of the most buzzworthy quarterback prospects in recent memory, his go-to receiver has Jordan Lasley is the most under-discussed top wide receiver prospect in the NFL Draft.
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Who are the biggest end-of-season movers in fantasy football dynasty leagues?

by The Podfather
Nelson Agholor's unsustainable touchdown rate has inflated his value across dynasty leagues, but trade value matters. With Super Bowl hero brand equity in tow, Agholor's trade value rose instantaneously, which required an upstack of his dynasty ranking. Jordan Reed fantasy football prospects dimmed when Washing acquired Alex Smith. While Smith heavily targeted Travis Kelce in recent years, Kelce's 9.6 average target depth and fell well outside the top-10 NFL tight ends. Given Smith's proclivity to throw short and run in the red zone, the loss of Kirk Cousins diminishes even a healthy Reed's dynasty value.
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4 truly shocking predictions that the numbers suggest will come true in 2018

by The Podfather
Friendly bounces propelled Deshaun Watson in 2017 who finished No. 1 in numerous efficiency metrics. Yet, his 64.0-percent True Completion Percentage, which factors out receiver drops and throwaways, ranked No. 32 among NFL quarterbacks. Watson was the luckiest quarterback in football. As more NFL teams run 3 and 4-receiver sets and call plays featuring slot receivers in the read progression, a higher percentage of target share will funnel inside. Given this trend, half of the top-25 receivers should operate out of the slot in 2018.
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Dynasty Rankings: Post-NFL Draft Keeper League Winners and Losers

by The Podfather
With the 2017 NFL Draft now complete, we must re-formulate our dynasty rankings based on projected post-draft depth charts movement. While hundreds of collegiate players were drafted, and over a hundred more signed with NFL teams as undrafted free agents, only a handful of draft picks significantly impacted the dynasty stock of established NFL veterans. The Cincinnati Bengals revealed their true offensive intentions on draft day: uptempo, high volume vertical attack. With Ross forcing opposing safeties to cover more ground, A.J. Green's total targets and efficiency should rise in 2017. Green possesses the ability to convert voluminous opportunities into prolific fantasy production.
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Ultimate Fantasy Football Dynasty League Buy-Low-Gasm

by The Podfather
Featuring both an 80-plus percentile Height-adjusted Speed Score (HaSS) and College Dominator Rating, Brian Quick is one of the best small-school wide receiver prospects to ever enter the NFL. Yet, Quick's inevitable breakout was far from inevitable. If you’re looking for a sleeper that’s practically hibernating, look no further than Erik Swoope. Sure, it’s hard to find that next great low-profile tight end, but all the stars are aligning for a Swoope breakout.
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Jeremy McNichols: The NFL Draft's Best-value All-purpose Back

by The Podfather
Given Jeremy McNichols' rare combination of college dominance and exceptional overall athleticism, he is quantitatively more impressive than Dalvin Cook and rivals Christian McCaffrey. Still under-appreciated by the NFL's Scouting Industrial Complex, McNichols may be the best-value running back in the NFL Draft and fantasy football league drafts.
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32 Fantasy Football Sleeper Breakout Candidates

by The Podfather
Unable to match the Mike Clay's article writing speed and efficiency (and proficiency), I remain committed to rage against the machine. I will rise up with deeper, edgier alternatives while staying even truer to the original premise identifying 32 alternative breakout sleepers from each team. Wendall Williams looks like a more athletic Emmanuel Sanders in a vacuum. A college basketball player that was deemed too small to make the NBA and boasting superhero measurables, Williams went to Cumberlands College where he posted the highest yards per reception in the PlayerProfiler database.
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Fantasy Football Dynasty League Rankings: PlayerProfiler vs. Consensus

by The Podfather
Dynasty price checks are important. After comparing PlayerProfiler and DLF ranks as of mid-February, I identified five player at each offensive position where RotoUnderworld's player valuation deviates significantly from consensus. Every year, overconfident fantasy gamers fly out to the fantasy battlefield with Lamar "Edge of Tomorrow" Miller. While each Miller iteration produces slightly more points, fantasy gamers inevitable die in an fiery explosion and miss the playoffs.
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Contrived Contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 9: Todd Gurley & Amari Cooper

by The Podfather
Play Blake Bortles in week 9 against Kansas City's good-not-great pass defense (-7.6-percent DVOA) in the first week that fantasy experts are allowing Blake Bortles' unsightly aesthetic to actually influence his fantasy football ranking. Amari Cooper headlined week 8's winning Millionaire Maker lineup on DraftKings.com. This week, Cooper's match-up is significantly more challenging, but his tournament-winning upside is still present.
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Contrived Contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 7: Carson Wentz & Brandin Cooks

by The Podfather
Brandin Cooks' 13.7 Volatility Score on PlayerProfiler is No. 3 among NFL wide receivers propelled by two 30-point weeks so far this season. DFS grinders often stay away from Saints players on the road, making Cooks a perfectly contrarian GPP play this week. Rob Gronkowski's presence does not marginalize Bennett as the Patriots have played two-tight end sets on 73-percent of plays since Gronkowski returned to the active lineup. Bennett has the size and athleticism to post a multi-touchdown game on any given week.
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Contrived Contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 6

by The Podfather
The most recent laughable false fantasy football narrative is "Ben Roethlisberger struggles on the road." Don't be fooled by randomness, and play Roethlisberger, the NFL leader in passing touchdowns, against a QB-friendly Miami secondary. Without knowing if Malcolm Butler will shadow Green, a "Bill Belichick always takes away an opponent's best weapon" anecdote is the sole case against the future Hall of Famer. Fade the narrative, and start Green and his irrationally low ownership.
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Contrived Contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 5

by The Podfather
I get it. Denver has the best defense in the NFL. I get it. The Falcons are +4.0 underdogs facing the Broncos on the road, but this "bad match-up" for Devonta Freeman on paper may not be so bad in reality. Denver is actually allowing bigger plays on the ground than through the air. Whether Eddie Royals is active or inactive, Cameron Meredith is an unknown, deep, deep, deep, deep sleeper with the minimum salary and a tournament-winning best-case scenario fantasy point total in his range of outcomes.
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Contrived Contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 4

by The Podfather
The uber-athletic Quincy Enunwa checks a lot of phenom wide receiver boxes. Roll out Enunwa as a contrarian upside play operating in the middle of the field where the Seahawks defense is most vulnerable. By funneling targets to running backs, Denver has accumulated an RB-friendly +24.0 (no. 25) DVOA against opposing running backs in the passing game this season. Despite the difficult match-up narrative, Charles Sims shows up in the top-12 running backs on PlayerProfiler's week 4 PPR RB rankings.
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Ultra-contrarian GPP DFS Plays of Week 2

by The Podfather
Three ultra-contrarian fantasy football DFS GPP picks for NFL Week 2 using advanced stats & metrics player profiles include: Todd Gurley and Doug Baldwin. Doug Baldwin (under 5-percent owned) is challenging Jordan Matthews for most under-appreciate NFL wide receiver title. The Rams just allowed the unspecial Jeremy Kerley to catch seven passes from the slot where Baldwin calls home.
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Top Week 1 Contrarian DFS Plays: A.J. Green & LeSean McCoy

by The Podfather
Three Contrarian DFS Plays for NFL Week 1: AJ Green, LeSean McCoy, and Ben Roethlisberger based on advanced stats and metrics player profiles. Ben Roethlisberger finished No. 1 in the NFL with 327.8 yards per game in 2015 and faces a Washington defense that allowed +1.29 fantasy points per game above the mean to opposing quarterbacks last season.
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Fantasy Football Data Analysis and the Origins of Ideas

by The Podfather
An idea comes to me in the shower. I dry off and rush to my computer in a towel to look up Player X on PlayerProfiler.com to start the idea validation process. Our Drew Ryan recently experienced an ah-ha! moment and leveraged Data Analysis to pull a list of Brandin Cooks statistical comps. SPOILER ALERT: no close comps exist.
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Jarvis Landry: wide receiver role and efficiency matters

by The Podfather
Miami is a great wide receiver talent configuration laboratory housing all WR archetypes, including the polar extremes: the overvalued Jarvis Landry commodity and the equally undervalued Kenny Stills gem. Does Adam Gase possess the necessary fortitude to eschew popularity for efficiency? Gase's true leadership qualities will be revealed in the Miami Dolphins offensive crucible this season.
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Kenneth Dixon's stunningly close Jay Ajayi comp

by The Podfather
After the NFL Draft, Team RotoUnderworld enjoys taking stroll through the draft prospects to find players who compare closely to an existing NFL player. Possessing a similar prospect profile to a bad NFL player does not guarantee professional failure exemplified by Devonta Freeman's close comp to James White. Similarly, possessing a similar prospect profile to a great NFL player does not guarantee professional success exemplified by Jonathan Grimes who is closely comparable to LeSean McCoy... But it certainly helps.
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Post-draft Rookie Ranking Risers

by The Podfather
We post pre-draft rooking rankings on PlayerProfiler to satiate rank-me-ravenous sports fans, wannabe Mel Kipers, and sicko diehard dynasty gamers. The pre-draft ranking illustrate player quality in a vacuum, but much of a player's NFL fate is determined on draft day. Being drafted in the first round is not the only path to early-career fantasy relevance. A handful of less fortunate players landed on efficient offenses and/or soft depth charts that should maximize their abilities in 2016 even without draft day prestige.
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Good Michael Thomas vs. Bad Michael Thomas

by The Podfather
Two wide receivers named Michael Thomas entered the NFL Draft, and you may be surprised which player has more potential at the NFL level. The Good Michael Thomas was more productive at an earlier age, has demonstrated more all-around football capabilities throughout his college career, and equally athletic to the Bad Michael Thomas. Counterintuitively, the bigger, badder Michael Thomas projects to be an NFL slot receiver. Meanwhile, the forgotten Michael Thomas projects to be a versatile all-field NFL playmaker.
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Running Backs and the Power of Reception

by The Podfather
Passing is more efficient than rushing in the NFL. In 2015, teams averaged 4.1 yards per rush attempt vs. 6.8 yards per pass -- an incredible 2.7 yards per play difference. Draft target magnet running backs. They are often in situations that maximize efficiency and their all-field skill sets makes them less dependent on game situation or touches in high leverage situations.
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The Ultimate Dynasty Buy-low-gasm

by The Podfather
If you are not actively trying to get Jeff Janis on all your dynasty teams, I don't really think you're trying to win your league. 25 of the best fantasy football analysts from various sites and services reveal the one inexpensive player that they are most voraciously targeting in dynasty leagues this offseason.
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The Great Hype Void: Jeff Janis chases a fickle American Dream

by The Podfather
According to my patent-pending mainstream popularity algorithm, a wide receiver equivalent of the anti-Cam Newton who breaks out in story book fashion should be the darling of middle America. The physically imposing, yet pathologically humble small school wide receiver desperate to please his coaches who rises out of a sports world primordial soup should be America's next can't-miss football sweetheart. The seventh round draft pick from Tawas City, Michigan that few NFL scouts took seriously who then erupts on the biggest possible stage at the most critical possible time should be waved around as the personification of the America Dream. Jeff Janis personifies the American Dream, and you hate him for it.
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DraftKings Week 17 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Javorius Allen reclaimed his starting job in week 16 and posted 22-fantasy points against a quality Pittsburgh run defense. It seems the Ravens have found their workhorse back of the future in Buck Allen. Though Philadelphia has been eliminated from the playoff picture, Jordan Matthews’ Vanderbilt resume demonstrated his willingness to give maximum effort even in futile contests. Zach Ertz is also ascending evidenced by three straight weeks with 15-plus fantasy points in additional to leading the NFL in target share (over 30-percent) over the past two weeks as Ertz has emerged as Sam Bradford’s go-to receiver in most situations.
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DraftKings Week 16 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Teddy Bridgewater, Karlos Williams, Dwayne Harris, and Will Tye are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup and/or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster. Based on Karlos Williams’ physical attributes, college resume, and 2015 efficiency, the Bills can confidently deploy him in all phases of the game this week. Odell Beckham’s suspension was shockingly upheld after he tried to kill Josh Norman last weekend. Dwayne Harris is enjoying a career year and is now in line to start in week 16.
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Denard Robinson and Ronnie Hillman: Closest Comparable Running Backs

by The Podfather
Ronnie Hillman and Denard Robinson seem to be separated at birth. Hillman and Robinson are small, fast running who have thrived in starring roles as workhorse backs but continue to be unfairly perceived as mere change of pace specialists. Ronnie Hillman and Denard Robinson are the two closest comparable running backs on PlayerProfiler.com.
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DraftKings Week 15 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Kirk Cousins was named Washington's starting quarterback after surviving for years in the Robert Griffin III controversy crucible. While Cousins has looked like a generic game manager against above-average pass defenses, he possesses the necessary arm talent and head space to shred bad defenses, particularly at home. As a featured all-purpose weapon for a suddenly high octane 2015 Jaguars offense, Denard Robinson has a 10-point floor and a tantalizing 30-point, volume-fueled ceiling. Kirk Cousins, Denard Robinson, Tyler Lockett, and Michael Floyd are noteworthy value plays on DraftKings in week 15.
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DraftKings Week 14 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
In a year in which Chris Johnson was rejuvenated, James Jones was efficient, Ted Ginn posted career highs, and Gary Barnidge joined the elite tight end ranks, would it shock anyone if a 31-year old journeyman tight end from University of Nebraska at Omaha ascended to fantasy TE1 status overnight? Ryan Fitzpatrick, Matt Jones, Dorial Green-Beckham, and Zach Miller are noteworthy value plays on DraftKings in week 14.
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DraftKings Week 13 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Jay Cutler, David Johnson, DeVante Parker, Vance McDonald are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup and/or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster in week 13. DeVante Parker is a speed-size phenomenon owning a 109.5 (87th-percentile) Height-adjusted Speed Score (HaSS) and a resume of production evidenced by his 46.3-percent College Dominator Rating at the University of Louisville.
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DraftKings Week 12 Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Perhaps you have heard of these new one-week fantasy games over on DraftKings? They are incredible! Just pick new players every week, and get this, there is no season-long commitment! If you give this DFS thing a try, play Jameis Winston, Doug Martin, Javorius Allen, and Vincent Jackson on DraftKings in week 12. Pro tip: stack Buccaneers this week.
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Week 11 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Danny Amendola is not nearly as athletic as Julian Edelman, but playing the high volume Wes Welker slot role will nonetheless ensure that Amendola receives 10-plus targets per game moving forward. Lamar Miller has been thrust into an all-purpose role just as Jay Ajayi re-entered the backfield and rekindled fears of a running back committee in Miami.
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Week 10 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Though his completion percentage remains near the bottom of the league, like a young Matthew Stafford, Blake Bortles’ fantasy output is propelled by a dynamic supporting case. Without a Dion Lewis-caliber back on the roster, the Patriots must modify their offensive game plan to include less RB screens and RB pass routes and more between the tackles runs. In other words, more LeGarrette Blount. After Steve Smith went down with a injured back week 4, Kamar Aiken averaged 77.5-yards and 8-targets a game operating as Joe Flacco’s defacto go-to receiver.
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Week 9 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Derek Carr is averaging 18.1 fantasy points per game, is trending toward a QB1 season, and has "the look" of the NFL’s next star quarterback. Jeremy Langford’s salary on DraftKings is a screaming value. Langford’s NFL baptism will be more jacoozi soak than frigid river plunge. Derek Carr, Jeremy Langford, Alshon Jeffery, and Austin Seferian-Jenkins are noteworthy plays on DraftKings in week 9.
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Week 8 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
You know week 8 has arrived when waiver wire articles lapse into re-runs. We resist the urge to recycle past content and provide a handful of fresh value plays on DraftKings for week 8 of the NFL season. Philip Rivers, Chris Johnson, Martavis Bryant, and Ladarius Green could serve as the cornerstones of optimal cash game lineups or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament rosters this week.
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Week 7 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Every aspect of Christine Michael's athletic profile inspires excitement. From his 135.5 (97th-percentile) Burst Score to his 10.71 (98th-percentile) Agility Score, fantasy gamers have been anxiously anticipating the day that Christine Michael finally translates his extraordinary athletic ability into fantasy RB1 production. Philip Rivers, Christine Michael, Chris Hogan, and Travis Kelce are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster, or both.
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Week 6 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
More players are crunching more data and playing more contests than ever before. Take advantage of four market inefficiencies on DraftKings in week 6. Sam Bradford, Duke Johnson, Kamar Aiken, and Tyler Eifert are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster, or both.
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Week 5 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Take advantage of four market inefficiencies on DraftKings in week 5. Matthew Stafford, Dion Lewis, Leonard Hankerson, and Derek Carrier are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster, or both.
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Week 4 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Now is the time to take advantage of a handful of lagging DFS salaries that do not align with this season’s reality. Karlos Williams, Andy Dalton, and Leonard Hankerson are noteworthy value plays who could either serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup or add upside variance to a GPP/tournament roster, or both.
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Week 3 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
In Week 3, forecasting fantasy football outcomes starts to get more straightforward. Less crawling in the dark. More 2015 game data. Less speculation. More match-up conviction. Less uncertainty. Donte Moncrief’s resume of productivity and playmaker profile is exciting in a vacuum. Now give him 10-targets a game from Andrew Luck. Now make his price $4,800 on DraftKings. Donte Moncrief is what an auto-play looks like in week 3.
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Week 2 DraftKings Cheat Code

by The Podfather
Terrance Williams may stink at converting contested catches, but he was tremendously efficient elsewhere in 2014. Outlining week 2 value plays on DraftKings who could serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup and/or should show up on GPP/tournament rosters.
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3 Tight Ends Who Look Like Gronk

by The Podfather
Rob Gronkowski plays the role of the unknowing meathead party boy flawlessly. Gronkowski is just here to do push-ups on furniture, drink all your booze, and bed all your women. Nothing to see here. 3 tight ends that look like Gronk are great fantasy football values available in the mid rounds, late rounds, and free agency.
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DraftKings Optimal Week One Plays

by The Podfather
Week 1 value plays who could serve as the cornerstones of an optimal cash lineup and/or should show up on GPP/tournament rosters. Your dad would never play a rookie quarterback in week 1. Good thing Jameis Winston not a normal rookie quarterback.
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PlayerProfiler Top 200

by The Podfather
A fully integrated ranking of all fantasy-relevant Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends assuming the most standard 12-team league with the following roster structure: 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex.
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Kevin White Turned 23 and No One Cares

by The Podfather
Kevin White is the NFL's Benjamin Button. Seemingly every year that goes by, he gets a year younger, and no one seems to care. Was Kevin White's age falsification the result of an elaborate hoax intentionally perpetrated to enhance White's reputation as "phenom" prospect or was it simply an innocent data error by an oblivious fan inaccurately updating White's Wikipedia page?
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How Zero RB Killed Zero RB

by The Podfather
A funny thing happened to Zero RB during its meteoric rise as a approach to winning fantasy football drafts… it has become incredibly difficult to execute. While Zero RB is ineffective in draftmaster formats, in traditional league formats, Zero RB remains on the table
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Phillip Dorsett & Brandin Cooks: The Closest Rookie WR Comps on PlayerProfiler.com

by The Podfather
The Best Comparable features most popular and oft-discussed aspect of PlayerProfiler.com. Each player’s “best comp” is identified by an input-prioritized algorithm that sorts, dismisses, and ultimately matches each player to the most similar NFL peer at his position. As was discussed in a previous piece, the vast permutations from just a handful of physical, athletic, […]
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Recommending Rookies in Redraft

by The Podfather
The enhanced value of rookie players is likely the result of the perceived risk accompanying anything new — the inherent uncertainty of never seeing a particular player perform at the NFL level. Targeting rookies with early-round draft capital in relatively high-volume situations can provide an even more compelling value proposition.
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Allen Robinson and the Dez Bryant Comp

by The Podfather
The most popular and oft-discussed feature of PlayerProfiler.com is the Best Comparable feature. The Best Comparable Player for each quarterback, running back, wide receiver, and tight end matches each skill position player to his most similar counterpart at the NFL level. Some comparisons are tremendously positive, such as Allen Robinson to Dez Bryant. Others illustrate red flags such as Martavis Bryant to Justin Hunter.
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Bust Rate Retrospect

by The Podfather
The crux of Zero RB Theory is that running backs bust more frequently than quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends. A detailed study of cost-discounted positional bust rates by the RotoUnderworld Team has yielded five actionable observations.
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Introducing: Value Over Stream (VOS)

by The Podfather
A new metric is now available on PlayerProfiler: Value Over Stream (VOS), a helpful guidepost to be utilized during fantasy football drafts. At a basic level, the metric is the result of a player valuation schema that calculates each player's fantasy points per game above the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current or previous season, depending on the time of year. The metric also takes positional bust rates into account. Now, let's break down precisely what this means and how it could impact your fantasy football draft strategy.
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