Dustin Hogue

Fantasy Football Analyst

Dustin “Dookie” Hogue is a fantasy football expert. He is also a gambling degenerate who loves sports betting and writing about sports, especially fantasy football. His interest in fantasy sports began with home leagues. From those humble beginnings, Dustin couldn’t help but search out other modes of fantasy football. This search resulted in the discovery of DFS, best ball leagues on both Underdog and FFPC, and dynasty leagues. After posting a self-made Reddit blog and searching relentlessly for a writer’s position, he gladly jumped at the chance to join PlayerProfiler. At PlayerProfiler, Dustin has contributed as a senior analyst for the past two seasons contributing weekly as a part of their writing team.

Dook is an alumni from ODU with a degree in Music. In his free time, he loves riding bicycles, knocking around a ping pong ball, and drinking craft beers with friends. He’s had the privilege and honor to be a part of each of the past four Scott Fish Bowl tournaments as an analyst. His favorite league is a 36 team (3 division) “Craft Beer Traders League.” Dustin helped form this league as a way to connect beer-traders around the country. All these experiences have shaped Dustin into the fantasy football expert he is today.

My Guys

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB, Detroit Lions

Jordan Love

QB, Green Bay Packers

Quentin Johnston

WR, Los Angeles Chargers

Articles

Wild Card Showdown: Seahawks vs 49ers

by Dookie Hogue

The Purdy-to-Kittle connection has been impressive. Since Week 15, Kittle's seven Receiving Touchdowns is a league-best mark. However, will Seattle spoil the Iowa In-State Connection? Or will the 49ers roll onto the next round of the playoffs?

Week 17 MNF Showdown: Bills vs Bengals

by Dookie Hogue

In the Week 17 MNF Showdown, Josh Allen and the Bills head west to face Joe Burrow's Bengals in Cincinnati in what could be the game of the year! What do fantasy gamers and bettors need to know heading into this sensational matchup between two of the NFL's juggernauts?

Week 16 MNF Showdown: Chargers vs Colts

by Dookie Hogue

This week's MNF Showdown has the Chargers traveling to Indianapolis to take on the Colts. What matchups should fantasy gamers pay special attention to this week? Who is poised to have a big game and secure fantasy gamers a spot in their fantasy football championship? What are the best bets that can be made on Monday night?

Week 15 MNF Showdown: Rams vs Packers

by Dookie Hogue

The Packers are allowing a mouth-watering 24.7/123.6/.77 stat line on average to opposing backs. I'm taking a stand with Akers this week to post season-high numbers in a dream matchup against the Pack. Watson has been the hot-hand lately, stringing together four straight games with a touchdown reception. Watson remains in play here as a ceiling WR2/3 given his recent touchdown outbursts. Since Week 10, Watson's impressive 26-percent Target Share leads the team.

Week 14 MNF Showdown: Patriots vs Cardinals

by Dookie Hogue

With Damien Harris doubtful (thigh) to play, Rhamondre Stevenson looks like a smash. In the three games without Harris, Stevenson has averaged a sizable 85-percent Snap Share. He converted those opportunities into RB2, RB9 and RB18 finishes. His season-long 23.5-percent Target Share (team-high) is second only to Christian McCaffery amongst qualified running backs. I like Stevenson as a top-10 play against a Cardinals defense that has been sliced up by pass-catching backs (No. 8 most passing yards to running backs). James Conner's 97-percent Snap Share was unmatched in Week 12 at his position. He was able to turn the workhorse opportunity into a massive 25/120/2 statline. Conner has been solid lately, turning in two top three RB finishes in his last three weeks of action. While the matchup with New England is challenging (No. 2 in fantasy points allowed to RB), Conner remains a volume-secure RB2.

Week 13 MNF Showdown: Saints vs Buccaneers

by Dookie Hogue

Chris Olave is the clear alpha wideout for the Saints. The rookie has stepped up big for the team, leading them in both Targets (50) and Receiving Yards (433). I like Olave's ceiling on any given week as he's cleared the 100-yard receiving mark three times already this season. Godwin is the preferred option in this week's matchup after shredding the Browns for 12/110/1. Godwin has been reliable, having seen double-digit Targets in five of his last six contests.

Week 12 MNF Showdown: Steelers vs Colts

by Dookie Hogue

Alec Pierce saw a team-high 47-percent Air Yard Share in Week 11 and now faces a Steelers secondary that has been repeatedly exposed over the top (No. 2 in explosive pass plays of 20+yards allowed). His Anytime Touchdown scoring prop is sitting at +290 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Pat Friermuth has been a security target for Pickett. His 22-percent Target Share is No. 3 best at his position just behind Travis Kelce. Friermuth has posted two top-four TE performances in his last five games to boot. To the detriment of his wide receiver team-mates, Friermuth has cleared a 30+-percent Target Share in two straight games.

Week 11 MNF Showdown: 49ers vs Cardinals

by Dookie Hogue

I'm still firing McCaffrey up though as a top-tier RB1. His 23-percent Target Share and 5.2 Receptions Per Game rank No. 1 and 2 at the position. DeAndre Hopkins has been “en fuego” since his return from suspension. Since his Week 7 return, Hopkins leads the position in Targets Per Game (11.75) and Receptions Per Game (9).

Week 10 MNF Showdown: Commanders vs Eagles

by Dookie Hogue

Jalen Hurts has been fire, having posted QB4 or better numbers in five of eight games. Hurts has tossed the No. 5 most Passing Touchdowns and attempted the No. 2 most Rushes (amongst qualified quarterbacks). Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel have benefited from the change under center. With Heinicke at the helm, McLaurin and Samuel have led the team in Targets (8.3 and 5.3 respective averages) and Target Share (28.8-percent and 17.9-percent respectively).

Week 9 MNF Showdown: Ravens vs Saints

by Dookie Hogue

With Mark Andrews listed as doubtful, preseason darling Isaiah Likely will be thrust into a significant role as the team's top tight end. If he's able to sniff Andrew's elite 89-percent Snap Share, he'll make for a strong play. Kamara has come on lately, recording top-10 RB performances in three of his last four games. Last week's triple touchdown outburst broke the seal after being held scoreless to begin the year.

Week 8 MNF Showdown: Bengals vs Browns

by Dookie Hogue

Possibly the best spot from this game lies in the Bengals rushing attack led by Joe Mixon. The Browns have hemorrhaged fantasy points to enemy running backs this season. Their 23.9 Fantasy Points Allowed per game average is No. 4 most in the NFL.

Week 7 MNF Showdown: Bears vs Patriots

by Dookie Hogue

The Bears pass defense has looked good on paper because their rush defense is a sieve. The Bears' defense ranks last in the league in Rushing Attempts (157) and Rushing Yards Allowed (737). Their lofty 21.2 Fantasy Points Allowed is No. 5 worst. The Bears have been giving to opposing D/STs, allowing top 7 performances in three of their past four games. The Patriots rank No. 10 in Sack Rate (7.3-percent) and have recorded fantasy finishes of No. 5 or better in three straight weeks.

Week 6 MNF Showdown: Broncos vs Chargers

by Dookie Hogue

The priority spend-up and Hogfather pal: Austin Ekeler, is a top-tier RB1. Among qualified running backs, Ekeler ranks No. 1 in Receptions (27), No. 3 in Targets (29) and No. 4 in Rushing Touchdowns (3).

MNF Showdown Week 5: Raiders vs Chiefs

by Dookie Hogue

Week 5's Monday Night game between the Raiders and Chiefs boasts a week-high 51.5 game total. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are 7.5 point home favorites while hosting the road-dog Raiders.

MNF Showdown Week 4: Rams vs 49ers

by Dookie Hogue

With Jimmy Garoppolo back under center, the 49ers will host the Rams in a NFC West MNF Showdown in Week 4. The game sets up as a defensive scrum with no love lost on either side. A notable injury that will affect the game include the loss of All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams. I like an alt-under here as a safe bet. The two teams have combined to average 43 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Touchdown hunting is also on the table with superstars like Deebo Samuel and Cooper Kupp on the field. Without further ado, let's break down this Monday Night Showdown!

MNF Showdown Week 3: Cowboys vs Giants

by Dookie Hogue

Whether it be the dysfunction of the Giants offense or the competency of Rush's quarterback play, the public is understandably undecided on a winner. The game's meager game total is a culmination of the Prescott injury and both teams anchoring the league in points scored.

Week 2 Monday Night Showdown

by Dookie Hogue

With both teams coming off Week 1 wins, the Eagles will host the Vikings in Week 2's second highest totalled game. Both offenses were humming along in each team's respective Week 1 victories and Vegas is thinking more of the same for this one.

MNF Showdown Week 1

by Dookie Hogue

The Broncos have been one quarterback away from competitiveness since Peyton Manning's retirement. They fill this much needed void with Russell Wilson. Though his 2021 season was marred with injury, Wilson was still chucking the rock when healthy. Wilson's 5.5 Deep Ball Attempts Per Game (No. 1) and 10 Air Yards Per Attempt (No. 6) support this.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 18

by Dookie Hogue

Jonathan Taylor is a slam dunk. In a must-win game for the Colts, Taylor should get plenty of run. He's currently 266 Rushing Yards away from the 2,000 yard mark. That's a lofty goal but not out of the range of outcomes for the standout rusher. At DK Sportsbook, the Colts are 15 point road favorites. The Jaguars rank last in the league in rushing percentage allowed when trailing by 7 or more points (44-percent rate h/t RotoGrinders). Get your popcorn ready for this one. Speaking of incentives, Cooper Kupp should have some extra motivation to finish his historic season strong. In a must-win game against division rival 49ers, Kupp also needs 12 Receptions (a feat he's achieved once already this season) to break the single-season receiving record. He's also 171 Receiving Yards away from a 2,000 yard receiving season. Fire up fantasy's WR1 and find value elsewhere.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 17

by Dookie Hogue

On the heels of a straight-up embarrassing romp of the Washington Football Team, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys host the Cardinals. Over the past four games, Arizona has allowed the No. 7 most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Pair Prescott up with Amari Cooper, who led the team in Week 16 with a season-high 27.5-percent Target Share. Projecting at only 1.2-percent ownership, Dalton Schultz looks like the most overlooked piece from the Cowboys side of the ball. Schultz gets a great game environment in a weather-controlled dome in a game ranked No. 1 in Pace of Play. Schultz has shown tournament-winning upside while surpassing 20 DKPt in back-to-back games. The Cardinals have been suspect within 10 yards of the LOS allowing a 55-percent Pass Rate in that area where Shultz mostly operates.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 16

by Dookie Hogue

Two weeks of rest (a missed week due to injury and a bye week) seemed to be all that was needed for Jalen Hurts to return from an ankle sprain unscathed. With more opportunities on offense and another week removed from injury, he should be deployed even more as a rusher. Despite ranking dead last in aFPA to opposing quarterbacks, the Giants have also had trouble on the ground. Hurts' 2.3 Red Zone Carries Per Game has led to his league leading 10 Rushing Touchdowns. Giddyup! Dallas Goedert provides a nice value/ceiling combo at $5,100. The versatile tight end has eclipsed 100 receiving yards in back to back games for the Eagles. In Weeks 13 and 15, Goedert saw Target Shares of 27-percent and 35-percent (Week 14 was a bye). While you can run Hurts naked (without a pairing), Goedert looks to be the preferred stacking option with Hurts.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 15

by Dookie Hogue

George Kittle will be massive chalk, but has broken the slate in back-to-back weeks. His 40-percent Target Share in Weeks 13 and 14 are likely an outlier, but his normal Target Share outside of those weeks was still a healthy 21-percent. I believe this game is the biggest blowout on the slate and would be open to running some three-plus player stacks on the 49ers side of the ball. Regardless if Chase Edmonds is activated from IR, James Conner is still very much in play. The Cardinals have a slate-high 30-point implied team total and some of that should be expected to be earned on the ground. The Lions rank No. 10 or worse in Rushing Yards Allowed (135/gm/avg), Rushing TD Percentage (41-percent), and aFPA (No. 4). He makes for a nice one-off too if you're fading Kyler Murray in a lineup or two.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 14

by Dookie Hogue

Patrick Mahomes is priced up at $8,000, but he's worth the spend-up at the position. Mahomes should have no problem returning to fantasy relevancy with a visit from a Raiders team he dismantled (39DKPt) a couple weeks back. In a game tied for No. 1 in Pace of Play, The Chiefs own a slate-high 28.75 Vegas team total. With cheaper bellcow streamers soaking up ownership, Alvin Kamara is a light-chalk leverage play in a smash spot against the Jets. The Jets have had no answer for enemy running backs allowing a league-worst 36.9 DKPt/game average. Ranking last in Rush Percentage Inside 10 has resulted in 18 enemy rushing touchdowns (also league worst). Interestingly, Kamara still ranks inside the top 10 in Carries Inside 10 (13 carries), even after missing four weeks with a knee injury. It's Kamara time.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 13

by Dookie Hogue

The Bucs tend to pressure opposing teams into passing by running up the score. Since opposing offenses have mostly abandoned the run, the Bucs are allowing a league-high 71-percent Pass Percentage. They also allow a 75-percent (No. 3) Passing TD Percentage. Matt Ryan himself is inexpensive ($5,600) and his counterparts are as well (Kyle Pitts at $5,600 and Russell Gage at $5,300). Paying down for Ryan gives you a great way to approach the game ranked No. 3 in Pace of Play. With Darren Waller listed doubtful with a variety of injuries, the public will be drawn to Foster Moreau. A leverage play tight-end from the same game is the Football Team's Logan Thomas. In games he's started, he averages an elite 20.9-percent Air Yards Share (31.3-percent in Week 12). He makes a great low-rostered pairing with Taylor Heinicke with the Raiders having been had by opposing tight ends, ranking No. 5 in aFPA.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 12

by Dookie Hogue

A week removed from a top three QB finish (30.8 DKPt), Jalen Hurts projects as the QB2. While the trio of rushing touchdowns against New Orleans was a bit of a fluke, Hurts' QB1 upside is not. Expect a lot of plays to be run on both sides of the ball as this game leads the slate in Pace of Play. Pair Hurts with DeVonta Smith or Dallas Goedert or run him solo but whatever you do, don't fade him. With Cam Newton injected back into the Panther's offense, Robby Anderson is back in the conversation. With Newton, Anderson has nearly matched D.J. Moore with a 20-percent Target Share and Receptions (9). The Dolphins can be had over the top too, as they rank dead last in explosive plays (20 plus yards downfield). At only $4,700 and projecting to be hardly owned, there are worse spots to find this kind of upside.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Thanksgiving Day

by Dookie Hogue

With three games on the docket, the pickings are slim on a short Thanksgiving slate. At the quarterback position, Josh Allen is the clear-cut top option and is worth the spend-up. After bodying DFS lineups in a surprising flop performance against the Colts, expect a bounce-back game against a Saints team that has allowed a lot of fantasy points to the quarterback this season (No. 7) but especially over the past four weeks (No. 1 in points allowed). With the questions surrounding the Cowboys offensive weapons, consider a complete dart throw in tight end Sean McKeon. With Blake Jarwin shelved on IR, the second-year tight end has seen a slight uptick in playing time. Dallas should run more two tight end sets in support of the run-heavy Game Script, which would put him on the field more. McKeon is athletic given his 93rd-percentile Vertical Jump and 78th-percentile Speed Score. At the stone minimum $2,500 10 DKPt gives us tournament-winning upside.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 11

by Dookie Hogue

Patrick Mahomes looked pretty back to himself while dismantling the Raiders in prime time. After a handful of subpar outings, Mahomes posted his highest scoring fantasy game of the season (39.2 DKPt). Vegas is back in on the Chiefs as denoted by their slate-high 29 point implied team total and I'm here for it. The game ranks No.1 in Pace of Play and both offenses can fill the stat sheet. Both teams rank top ten in both Sec/Play and Situation Neutral pace (h/t Football Outsiders). Checking in as our WR2 (by projections), Tyreek Hill finds himself in an interesting spot facing the Cowboys. Though the Cowboys defense has been good against the pass (No. 9 DVOA), the high game total and fast paced game environment takes precedence. Despite their similar Target Shares, Hill edges out Kelce as the stacking option to prefer here because of his deep ball proclivity (27.7-percent and 21.7-percent respectively).

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 10

by Dookie Hogue

Game-log bros might fade the Colts after seeing the Jags skunk the Bills in Week 9 but don't be worried. The Jaguars 49-percent Pass Success Rate allowed (No. 3) and No. 32 ranked Pass DVOA is the path of least resistance for a Colt's team with a high 29 point implied team total (No. 4). The Jaguars are allowing 21.4 DKPt to quarterbacks (which is also our median projection). Stack Carson Wentz with Michael Pittman with a James Robinson runback to be unique. Chris Godwin gets the PFF No. 1 graded WR/CB matchup facing the Football Team defense. The issue here is his foot injury that has caused him to miss practice all week. He plays in the early set of games though, so we'll know ahead of time whether to pivot. If he goes, he's near a lock play given the matchup and game total (30.5). If he misses, Mike Evans is a very strong play.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 9

by Dookie Hogue

With the news that Aaron Rodgers will miss Sunday's game after testing positive for COVID-19, Jordan Love becomes our Upside Finder's top play at quarterback. Love checks all the boxes we love in an upside-streamer: he's bargain-priced, has a great matchup, and has a solid supporting cast. Near the minimum price, his $4400 tag only requires him to score around 18 DKPt for tournament viability. This value also opens up pricey spend-ups at other positions as well. Having the Broncos stack not pan out last week would dissuade some from chasing matchups but I love pain. The Dolphins rank dead last in Passing Yards Allowed and Sack Percentage (304 Passing Yards Per Game/ 3.58-percent Sack Rate). Brandin Cooks gets one of the best matchups on the slate yet projects under 2-percent ownership. His 41.9-percent Air Yards Share leads the league at the position and his 29.2-percent Target Share is also good for No. 6. My stack preference here is a Texans skinny stack with a Mike Gesicki runback.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 8

by Dookie Hogue

Here's Jeudy! Well, hopefully! Jerry Jeudy looks to be on track to play Sunday in his first game of action since being injured in Week 1. Although there isn't much to go on as far as his metrics (for this season) we do know he led all Bronco receivers with a 21.2-percent Target Share in 2020. We also know his opposition this week is playing really bad football. Josh Allen checks in as our top ranked quarterback and looks to be it at the position. Priced up to $8,100 (as he should be), Allen is in a fantastic spot facing the Miami Dolphins. The Bills have the slate's highest implied team total (31.5) and one of the best matchups for quarterbacks to boot. No clowning around, pair him with his favorite target, Stefon Diggs, who's seeing a massive 26.4-percent (No. 11 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 7

by Dookie Hogue

DeAndre Hopkins certainly deserves a mention given his team's massive team total (32.25) against his former team. Hopkins has yet to put up a 100-yard game with a touchdown but that is well within his range of outcomes. Kyler Murray's proclivity to spread the ball around has rightfully scared off some fantasy gamers from paying up for Hopkins. However, he edges out his teammates with a 20.8-percent Target Share and also separates himself with his touchdown production. Patrick Mahomes posted his highest yardage total in Week 6 and looks to pick up where he left off for Week 7. Of the highest-totaled Week 7 games, the Chiefs/Titans game has the closest Vegas point spread (5.5). The game itself has the highest game total (57.5) and seems the likeliest for a shootout (or whatever it's called when you're having to keep up with Derrick Henry).

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 6

by Dookie Hogue

Patrick Mahomes' league-high 16 Passing Touchdowns matches up well against the Washington defense. Washington and Kansas City rank No. 4 and No. 5 respectively in Pace of Play this season, so this should be an up-pace game as well. The alluring stacking option here is the Mahomes double stack with Tyreek Hill/Travis Kelce, who combine for a whopping 50.7-percent Target Share. The field probably won't want to pay all the way up at these positions, so that should help drive down ownership. The Chiefs have a slate-high 31 Vegas implied team total. Mark Andrews is a shocking value play after eviscerating the Colts in Week 5. His $5,200 salary doesn't seem to match up with his elite usage. His 23.0-percent (No. 3 among qualified tight ends) Air Yards Share, 24.51-percent (No. 2) Target Share, and 86.82-percent (No. 2) Route Participation is top-notch. The opposing Chargers' elevated situation neutral Pace of Play (No. 5) and offensive success has forced teams to pass the ball more. The Chargers are No. 10 in aFPA and tied for the most touchdowns allowed to tight ends (4). If you fade Andrews, you're just kooky.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 5

by Dookie Hogue

Prescott has tossed ten Touchdown Passes (No. 3), seven of which have come in the two games. His 78-percent True Completion Percentage (No. 3) is quite impressive as well, especially at 33.25 Attempts Per Game. The Giants have allowed 7 Passing Touchdowns (No. 5) and 23.2 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks (No. 10). It's time to go back to Dak. Dalton Shultz is a nice pivot off the chalky Dallas receivers. The Prescott/Shultz stack is an interesting pairing considering Shultz' low 6.3-percent projected ownership. Shultz is coming off back to back games seeing Target Shares of 28 and 37.5-percent.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 4

by Dookie Hogue

After burning countless parlays in back to back weeks, the Chiefs look to get right this week with a visit to Philadelphia. Patrick Mahomes has yet to pay off his exorbitant price tag in recent weeks despite throwing for at least three passing touchdowns in each start. Mahomes' 8.0-percent Touchdown Rate, 313 Passing Yards Per Game and nine passing touchdowns all rank top five at the position. Jalen Hurts should also do enough to keep the game competitive. Alvin Kamara is always in play. His 77.6-percent (No. 6) Opportunity Share and 23.0-percent (No. 1) Target Share are elite. His opponent this week, the Giants, have allowed the second most receiving yards to running backs this season. You need some Kamara exposure.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks For Week 3

by Dookie Hogue

Some good chalk I'm feeling this week includes rostering Kyler Murray at quarterback. It may seem like an obvious play because it is. He has been the QB2 and QB1 on back to back slates but projects as only the seventh-highest owned quarterback. Murray being the QB1 after two weeks isn't as much a surprise as the way he's put it together. It seems whether by matchup or game plan, the Cardinals have been willing to let Murray sling it. The Podfather expects big things out of T.J. Hockenson this season and I'm expecting big things this week. Playing on a Lions team with fringe-NFL receiver talent has benefited Hockenson and given new teammate Jared Goff a reliable target. Goff has looked his his way often especially around the goal line, where Hockenson is tied for the second most Red Zone Targets among tight ends.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks For Week 2

by Dookie Hogue

Going back to the well with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins should pay off in Week 2. Only Jameis Winston (legit shocker) threw for more Passing Touchdowns than Murray in Week 1. Priced up as the most expensive quarterback and wide receiver pairing, here's a situation where paying up to be contrarian could be the separator needed to bink. The Cowboys/Chargers game will be popular and for good reason. Dak Prescott and Justin Herbert ranked second and fourth in Attempts Per Game after one week of action (47 and 40 attempts respectively.) The games' slate high 55 point implied game total tells a story that Vegas expects another shootout too. Keenan Allen and Amari Cooper lead their respective teams equally each with a 28-percent Target Share. This makes for a logical stacking combination.

NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks For Week 1

by Dookie Hogue

While I’m high on Ryan Tannehill, Kyler Murray’s upside shouldn’t go overlooked in this potential shootout. Murray’s 67-percent Red Zone Completion Percentage and 24.4 Fantasy Points Per Game are good for third-best among qualified quarterbacks. The Titans low-key allowed the second-most touchdown passes (only the Lions allowed more) to opposing quarterbacks last season (36). The Falcons and Eagles allowed the most and ninth most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers last season. Devonta Smith's 34.6-percent Target Share at Alabama last year gives us a clear run-back option on the Eagles side of the ball. The Matt Ryan/Calvin Ridley/Kyle Pitts/Devonta Smith stack is very intriguing.

Using Best Ball Win Rates to Uncover Gems in Best Ball Mania II

by Dookie Hogue

The TE13 drafted by UnderDog ADP, Jonnu Smith finds himself in a good position to help both the Patriots and your Underdog squad in 2021. In a large field tournament such as Best Ball Mania II, spike weeks from lightly owned players are critical difference makers. Positive regression is in store for Smith though after Tennessee’s overcrowded offense was exchanged for one desperate for playmakers. Forecasting talent to overtake mediocrity paid dividends for Justin Herbert drafters last season. An intriguing rookie prospect behind an uninspiring incumbent and with whom high draft capital was invested this season is Trey Lance. If he can make eight-plus starts, he’s a strong play given his playmaking ability and could absolutely smash his ADP. It's only a matter of time before we see the athletic rookie under center and someone who took advantage sees $1,0001 in their Underdog balance.